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Positive COVID-19 vaccine news now provides hope for 2021

By Brian Buntz | December 1, 2020

Coronavirus vaccine

[Image courtesy of Wikipedia]

Throughout much of the world, SARS-CoV-2 infections are seemingly spiraling out of control. Still, there is reason for optimism as a trio of COVID-19 vaccines seems to be on the cusp of winning emergency use authorization in the U.S. 

At least 10 vaccines have entered or completed Phase 3 trials. And by the second half of 2021, COVID-19 infections could begin falling sharply, according to projections from the investment bank UBS. 

Dr. Anthony Fauci, the director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, recently shared a similar perspective. “I think we will be going in the right direction of some degree of normality as we head into 2021 in the second, third and fourth quarter,” he told the American Medical Association. 

While the prospect of giving two doses of COVID-19 vaccines to roughly two billion people may seem daunting, the investment bank UBS believes strong demand will enable a quarter of the global population to receive vaccines next year. 

Pfizer (NYSE:PFE) and Moderna (NSDQ:MRNA) together could vaccinate nearly 15% of the world’s population. AstraZeneca (LON:AZN) could add an additional 24%. 

But despite the unprecedented speed of COVID-19 vaccine developments, inoculating billions of people across the globe will invariably be a slow process. According to CDC Director Robert Redfield, approximately 40 million doses will be available to Americans by the end of June. 

COVID-19 infections, however, are spreading rapidly in the interim. 

The U.S. could see almost 500,00 deaths by March 1, 2021, according to predictions from the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation. The organization predicts that the pandemic’s peak would occur in the first two months of the new year.

By the end of 2021, however, the effects of the pandemic will likely be more muted. UBS projects that roughly 50% or more of the global population could be immune or asymptomatic. In an optimistic scenario, the world could reach herd immunity by that same time frame.  

 


Filed Under: clinical trials, Drug Discovery, Infectious Disease
Tagged With: covid-19, COVID-19 vaccine, COVID-19 vaccine trial
 

About The Author

Brian Buntz

As the pharma and biotech editor at WTWH Media, Brian has almost two decades of experience in B2B media, with a focus on healthcare and technology. While he has long maintained a keen interest in AI, more recently Brian has made making data analysis a central focus, and is exploring tools ranging from NLP and clustering to predictive analytics.

Throughout his 18-year tenure, Brian has covered an array of life science topics, including clinical trials, medical devices, and drug discovery and development. Prior to WTWH, he held the title of content director at Informa, where he focused on topics such as connected devices, cybersecurity, AI and Industry 4.0. A dedicated decade at UBM saw Brian providing in-depth coverage of the medical device sector. Engage with Brian on LinkedIn or drop him an email at bbuntz@wtwhmedia.com.

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