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Does biopharma R&D spending translate to results? It’s complicated

By Brian Buntz | May 4, 2024

Senior Male Research Scientist is Using a Tablet Computer in a Modern High-Tech Laboratory. Genetics and Pharmaceutical Studies and Researches.

[Gorodenkoff/Adobe Stock]

A recent review of financial data from 25 major pharmaceutical companies reveals an inconsistent relationship between R&D spending, revenue, and stock returns. The analysis, which included industry giants such as Merck, Pfizer, Johnson & Johnson, and AbbVie, among others, aimed to uncover potential correlations between these key performance indicators.

The companies with the highest highest R&D spend ratios such as Regeneron Pharmaceuticals for example, had the highest R&D spend ratio at 33.84%, followed by Vertex Pharmaceuticals at 32.05%, despite having lower revenue numbers compared to the top earners. Meanwhile, companies with relatively modest R&D budgets, for instance, metabolic leaders Eli Lilly and Novo Nordisk, achieved impressive annual returns of 60.91% and 54.84%, respectively, while maintaining R&D spend ratios of 27.29% and 13.97%.

Another outlier is Bausch Health, formerly Valeant Pharmaceuticals, which achieved an annual return of 27.71% despite having one of the lowest R&D spend ratios at 6.90%. The company is not a pure-play pharma firm, however.

In the bubble chart below, each bubble’s size represent corresponds to revenue. Meanwhile, the X-axis shows the company’s R&D spend ratio (%) while the y-axis displays the annual return (%), reflecting their financial performance over the year. Companies sitting on the axis broke even, while those below it lost investors money in 2023

The sometimes elusive nature of R&D spending has been documented by researchers. For instance, the 2020 Berkeley honors thesis, “The Relationship Between Pharmaceutical R&D Spending and NME Development” from Taylor Wang concluded that there was “no appreciable relationship between R&D expenditure and NME production.” The paper sought to uncover a potential connection between R&D spending and NME production drawing on data from 1999 to 2016.

The “Measuring the return from pharmaceutical innovation – 14th edition” report from Deloitte found that ROI returns from R&D spending continue to remain stubborn. The report, however, noted a slight increase in the Internal Rate of Return (IRR) for biopharma R&D to 4.1% in 2023, up from 1.2% in the previous year, following a long-term decline over the past decade plus. Despite a 4.5% increase in total R&D spending by the top 20 companies, reaching $145.5 billion in 2023, the average cost to bring an asset from discovery to launch remained flat at $2.284 billion per asset, the report noted. Deloitte also noted a decline in the average forecast peak sales per asset, falling from $389 million in 2022 to $362 million in 2023.

Company Revenue (2023) R&D Spend (2023) R&D Ratio (2023) Annual Return (2023)
Merck (MRK) $60.12B $30.53B 50.79% 1.01%
Pfizer (PFE) $58.50B $10.68B 18.26% -41.26%
Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) $54.76B $11.96B 21.85% -8.58%
AbbVie (ABBV) $54.32B $7.68B 14.13% -0.23%
Roche (ROG.SW) $51.42B $12.79B 24.87% -12.71%
Sanofi (SAN.PA) $46.59B $7.28B 15.62% 3.64%
AstraZeneca (AZN) $45.81B $10.94B 23.87% 1.44%
Novartis (NVS) $45.44B $11.37B 25.03% 16.14%
Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY) $45.01B $9.30B 20.66% -26.14%
GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) $37.73B $7.74B 20.52% 9.71%
Eli Lilly (LLY) $28.54B $7.78B 27.29% 60.91%
Novo Nordisk (NVO) $24.43B $3.41B 13.97% 54.84%
Takeda Pharmaceutical (TAK) $23.29B $3.84B 16.50% 17.80%
Gilead Sciences (GILD) $21.66B $5.04B 23.28% 38.06%
Amgen (AMGN) $21.38B $3.55B 16.61% -2.34%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals (REGN) $13.12B $4.44B 33.84% 21.73%
Astellas Pharma (ALPMY) $11.41B $2.09B 18.34% -21.50%
Daiichi Sankyo (DSNKY) $11.40B $2.59B 22.74% -15.04%
Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX) $9.87B $3.16B 32.05% 40.90%
Bausch Health (BHC) $8.76B $0.60B 6.90% 27.71%

Filed Under: clinical trials, Drug Discovery and Development
Tagged With: biopharma, drug development, innovation, pharmaceutical industry, R&D spending, return on investment, revenue, stock performance
 

About The Author

Brian Buntz

As the pharma and biotech editor at WTWH Media, Brian has almost two decades of experience in B2B media, with a focus on healthcare and technology. While he has long maintained a keen interest in AI, more recently Brian has made making data analysis a central focus, and is exploring tools ranging from NLP and clustering to predictive analytics.

Throughout his 18-year tenure, Brian has covered an array of life science topics, including clinical trials, medical devices, and drug discovery and development. Prior to WTWH, he held the title of content director at Informa, where he focused on topics such as connected devices, cybersecurity, AI and Industry 4.0. A dedicated decade at UBM saw Brian providing in-depth coverage of the medical device sector. Engage with Brian on LinkedIn or drop him an email at bbuntz@wtwhmedia.com.

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